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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
21.04% ( 0.03) | 21.45% ( 0.01) | 57.52% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.57% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.57% ( 0.01) | 39.43% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.23% ( 0.01) | 61.77% ( -0) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% ( 0.03) | 32.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.23% ( 0.03) | 68.77% ( -0.03) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( -0) | 13.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.43% ( -0.01) | 40.57% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.04% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |