MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 12:36:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior
1 - 1
AZ

Sandra (90+1')
Lamprou (7'), Baas (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lahdo (72')
de Wit (25'), Bazoer (68'), Moller Wolfe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ have been scoring for fun all season long and we are backing them to enjoy another field day in front of goal. We are also backing this weekend's visitors to carry the day in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.04% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 21.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 57.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)61.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)32.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)13.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)40.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 21.04%
    AZ Alkmaar 57.52%
    Draw 21.45%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.52%

How you voted: Excelsior vs AZ

SBV Excelsior
4.8%
Draw
4.8%
AZ Alkmaar
90.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 21
AZ
5-0
Excelsior
Mijnans (20', 30'), Karlsson (27'), Odgaard (35'), Pavlidis (38')
Oct 23, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 11
Excelsior
2-1
AZ
Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Sugawara (48')
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
2-1
Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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