MX23RW : Friday, January 24 10:02:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heracles Almelo

AZ
1 - 1
Heracles

Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heracles

With two wins already under their belt this season, Heracles can afford to play with a certain level of freedom at one of the title contenders. Nevertheless, we expect AZ to cruise to a routine win, further showcasing their credentials to push Feyenoord all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
65.31% (-0.706 -0.71) 18.9% (0.225 0.23) 15.78% (0.475 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)36.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)58.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.206 -0.21)10.41% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-0.455 -0.45)33.95% (0.449 0.45)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.537 0.54)35.98% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.545 0.54)72.76% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 65.31%
    Heracles 15.78%
    Draw 18.9%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 65.31%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.9%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.78%

How you voted: AZ vs Heracles

AZ Alkmaar
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
Heracles
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
Apr 11, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 30
Heracles
P-P
AZ
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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