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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.11% ( -0.45) | 22.13% ( 0.04) | 42.75% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 68.34% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.2% ( -0.31) | 31.8% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.67% ( -0.36) | 53.33% ( 0.36) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.07% ( -0.35) | 18.93% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.56% ( -0.59) | 50.44% ( 0.59) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.29% ( 0.03) | 15.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.22% ( 0.05) | 44.78% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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