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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Dortmund
4 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Sabitzer (30'), Fullkrug (32'), Bynoe-Gittens (45'), Malen (90+7')
Brandt (80')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Reitz (13'), Kone (28')
Weigl (54'), Kone (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, November 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

 Gladbach have been very kind opponents for Dortmund in recent years, as the hosts have won the last 10 meetings here, and the Foals have not shown enough this season to suggest they can end that run. Both sides have shown goalscoring form of late, and goals have been commonplace in this fixture too, as Dortmund have scored 49 in their last 15 home clashes with Gladbach, and the last three head-to-heads have produced 19 goals, with BVB winning the last two here by 6-0 and 5-2 scorelines. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.44%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
59.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 18.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 21.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 69.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)8.65% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.17% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.82% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.016000000000005 0.02)23.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)57.43% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 59.44%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 21.77%
    Draw 18.79%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-2 @ 3.19%
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.56%
4-3 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 7.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.79%
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-1 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 21.77%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Borussia M'bach

Borussia Dortmund
89.4%
Draw
4.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
6.4%
47
Head to Head
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5-2
Borussia M'bach
Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')
Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Borussia M'bach
4-2
Dortmund
Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Dortmund
Zakaria (37')
Zakaria (13'), Stindl (33'), Netz (45+2'), Kone (59')

Dahoud (10'), Pongracic (35'), Bellingham (85')
Dahoud (40')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Dortmund

Stindl (32'), Bensebaini (90+2')
Sancho (66')
Dahoud (29'), Reus (50'), Hitz (90+5')
Dahoud (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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