MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:04:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Wolfsburg

Borussia M'bach
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Cvancara (16'), Reitz (42'), Honorat (64'), Plea (71')
Elvedi (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Arnold (33'), Vranckx (69'), Cozza (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-2 Wolfsburg

Four of the last seven meetings between these sides have ended in draws, with Gladbach winning the other three games, while both sides had to settle on sharing the spoils last weekend. As such, we would not be surprised to see another draw play out on Friday night, but it should be an entertaining one given that these teams have been much more proficient at attacking than defending in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
44.69% (0.691 0.69) 22.57% (-0.167 -0.17) 32.74% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 65.79% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.643 0.64)34.78% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.715 0.71)56.75% (-0.715 -0.72)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.51700000000001 0.52)16.16% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (0.934 0.93)45.61% (-0.934 -0.93)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.69%
    Wolfsburg 32.74%
    Draw 22.57%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.059 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
53.2%
Draw
32.3%
Wolfsburg
14.5%
62
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsburg
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Gerhardt (43'), Marmoush (69')
Thuram (13', 48')
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thuram (42'), Embolo (82')
Sommer (34'), Beyer (65')
Wind (6'), Bornauw (33')
Philipp (37'), Baku (37'), Casteels (76'), Gerhardt (90+3')
Lacroix (70')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Waldschmidt (25')
Bornauw (4'), Baku (10'), Mbabu (59'), Lacroix (67'), Weghorst (81'), Roussillon (90+3')
Lacroix (76')
Embolo (5'), Hofmann (7'), Scally (90+5')
Stindl (35'), Zakaria (36'), Beyer (71')
Feb 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
0-0
Borussia M'bach
Brooks (11')
Bensebaini (7'), Plea (79'), Embolo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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