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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Freiburg
3 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Holer (7'), Weisshaupt (70'), Grifo (90+6' pen.)
Lienhart (37'), Ginter (50')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Siebatcheu (25'), Plea (29'), Weigl (39' pen.)
Netz (79'), Weigl (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Heidenheim
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

 Freiburg have struggled to score goals this season, meaning that they will likely attempt to keep things tight at the back once again, but we expect Gladbach to travel with some confidence after securing back-to-back wins against Heidenheim. As such, we can envisage a low-scoring draw between two sides who are difficult to split in terms of quality, especially with both managers having plenty of injury headaches at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
46.99% (2.022 2.02) 22.2% (-0.222 -0.22) 30.81% (-1.802 -1.8)
Both teams to score 66.16% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (0.23099999999999 0.23)33.89% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.25% (0.261 0.26)55.74% (-0.262 -0.26)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.81 0.81)14.99% (-0.812 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (1.517 1.52)43.43% (-1.518 -1.52)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (-0.89099999999999 -0.89)22.17% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (-1.36 -1.36)55.57% (1.358 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 46.99%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 30.81%
    Draw 22.2%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.31% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.257 0.26)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.266 0.27)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.193 0.19)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.173 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.1 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Borussia M'bach

Freiburg
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Borussia Monchengladbach
28.6%
28
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Borussia M'bach
0-0
Freiburg
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
0-0
Borussia M'bach
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
3-3
Borussia M'bach
Grifo (49' pen.), Gunter (61'), Lienhart (80')
Eggestein (73')
Bensebaini (3' pen.), Embolo (13'), Stindl (90+3')
Plea (59'), Kone (65'), Stindl (79'), Bensebaini (88')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Borussia M'bach
0-6
Freiburg

Bensebaini (15'), Kone (24')
Eggestein (2'), Schade (5'), Lienhart (12'), Hofler (19'), Holer (25'), Schlotterbeck (37')
Demirovic (44')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Borussia M'bach
2-1
Freiburg
Thuram (53', 60')
Kramer (80')
Sallai (10')
Demirovic (31'), Holer (64'), Gunter (82')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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