Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle0 - 1Dortmund
The Match
Match Report
Felix Nmecha scores the only goal of the match as Borussia Dortmund beat Newcastle United 1-0 in the Champions League at St James' Park
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Newcastle United and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
42.63% ( -0.24) | 23.1% ( 0.04) | 34.27% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 64.33% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
