Newcastle

4 - 1

PSG

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.