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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
1 - 2
Dortmund

Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16'), Lindstrom (60'), Rode (90+3'), Tuta (90+5'), Trapp (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Ozcan (66'), Can (70'), Hummels (81'), Reyna (90+5'), Bellingham (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

The Bundesliga's Saturday night game should be a highly absorbing affair this weekend, with both teams playing an attractive style of football in recent weeks. In truth, with Frankfurt benefitting from home advantage, it is difficult to split them from Dortmund, so we can envisage a score draw at Deutsch Bank Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
31.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 44.01% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.209 -0.21)46.02% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.197 -0.2)68.33% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.248 -0.25)27.89% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.317 -0.32)63.5% (0.32 0.32)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 31.19%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.01%
    Draw 24.79%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Borussia Dortmund
41.2%
136
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
Dortmund
Kamada (9')
N'Dicka (41'), Kamada (47'), Rode (60'), Sow (64'), Kostic (82'), Abraham (85')
Reyna (56')
Can (88')
Feb 14, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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