We said: Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 RB Leipzig
Given Leipzig's strong showing in the DFB-Pokal in recent seasons, it would be surprising to see them exit the competition on Saturday.
Additionally, if boss Rose names a strong XI as he did against Paris Saint-Germain, they could comfortably progress into the next round ahead of Rot-Weiss Essen.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
1.2) 
-1.65) 
