We said: Rot-Weiss Essen 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen
Even though Leverkusen are weakened by their players' recent Euros/Copa America progressions, Alonso's squad depth is enviable, and the Bundesliga champions should immediately pick up where they left off.
Rot-Weiss Essen are very much still on the right track, but Leverkusen should have no issues sweeping them aside on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
-0.01) 
0) 
