MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 16:26:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
St Pauli

Sesko (16'), Simons (35')
Geertruida (1'), Kampl (66')
Orban (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Van der Heyden (11'), Dzwigala (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 St Pauli

St Pauli have been excellent at keeping their opponents out, and it is difficult to see how a struggling Leipzig side will be able to cause them significant problems. However, the hosts rarely suffer defeat at home, so it would not be surprising if the two teams played out a closely fought stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawSt Pauli
44.32% (0.288 0.29) 24.02% (0.123 0.12) 31.65% (-0.409 -0.41)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.622 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (-0.737 -0.74)42.28% (0.739 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31% (-0.741 -0.74)64.68% (0.74299999999999 0.74)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)19.29% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)51.04% (0.294 0.29)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.607 -0.61)25.76% (0.609 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.832 -0.83)60.7% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 44.32%
    St Pauli 31.65%
    Draw 24.02%
RB LeipzigDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.222 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.65%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs St Pauli

RB Leipzig
Draw
St Pauli
RB Leipzig
75.4%
Draw
18.5%
St Pauli
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 5pm
Second Round
RB Leipzig
4-2
St Pauli
Poulsen (12', 30'), Baumgartner (17'), Nusa (80')
Guilavogui (28'), Smith (59')
Saliakas (40')
Sep 22, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
St Pauli
0-0
RB Leipzig
Treu (29'), Saad (71')
Haidara (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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