RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
This has all the makings of an excellent cup tie, with both teams recognising that the DFB-Pokal represents their best chance of winning silverware this season. Dortmund could be bruised by their defeat to Bayern on Saturday, with home advantage potentially set to be a key factor in helping Leipzig remain in the hunt to retain this trophy. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
43.87% ( 0.04) | 22.69% ( -0) | 33.43% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.59% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( 0.01) | 35.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.83% ( 0.01) | 57.17% ( -0.01) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( 0.02) | 16.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.03) | 46.45% ( -0.03) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.01) | 21.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.7% ( -0.02) | 54.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.81% 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 33.43% |
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
