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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
40.45% | 24.14% | 35.4% |
Both teams to score 60.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.25% | 41.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.85% | 64.15% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% | 20.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.54% | 53.45% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% | 23.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% | 57.29% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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