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Champions League
Chelsea logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 7, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Dortmund logo

Chelsea
2 - 0
Dortmund

Sterling (43'), Havertz (53' pen.)
Arrizabalaga (65'), Fernandez (77'), Chilwell (90+2'), Cucurella (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sule (41'), Bellingham (90+8'), Wolf (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Graham Potter claims the biggest win of his Chelsea career so far as the Blues overcome Borussia Dortmund 2-1 on aggregate to reach the Champions League quarter-finals.

Team News

Marc Cucurella is recalled to the Chelsea XI for Tuesday's Champions League fixture with Borussia Dortmund.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Chelsea and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Borussia Dortmund could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Chelsea.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League last-16 second leg against Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawBorussia Dortmund
42.63% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 24.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 32.48% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (0.149 0.15)45.99% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.139 0.14)68.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.59% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.69% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.179 0.18)27.05% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.231 0.23)62.42% (-0.225 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 42.63%
    Borussia Dortmund 32.48%
    Draw 24.89%
ChelseaDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Dortmund

Chelsea
35.7%
Draw
19.2%
Borussia Dortmund
45.2%
569
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Dortmund
1-0
Chelsea
Adeyemi (63')
Bellingham (49'), Can (53'), Adeyemi (77'), Ozcan (85'), Ryerson (90'), Sule (90')

James (9'), Silva (16'), Ziyech (72'), Mount (90')
Build-up
Chelsea's Joao Felix celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 11, 2023
Joao Felix defends Kai Havertz over recent Chelsea form
Joao Felix backs Chelsea teammate Kai Havertz to answer his critics with a goal against Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on Tuesday night.
Mar 6, 18:08
 Chelsea head coach Graham Potter during defeat to Tottenham Hotspur on February 26, 2023.
Graham Potter gives mixed Chelsea injury update ahead of Borussia Dortmund game
Chelsea head coach Graham Potter provides a mixed injury update ahead of the second leg of Chelsea's Champions League last-16 tie with Borussia Dortmund.
Mar 6, 15:22
 Chelsea defender Reece James pictured on October 5, 2022
Reece James returns to Chelsea training ahead of Borussia Dortmund clash
Chelsea right-back Reece James returns to full training from a tight hamstring ahead of the second leg of the Blues' Champions League clash with Borussia Dortmund.
Mar 6, 12:43
 Borussia Dortmund goalkeeper Gregor Kobel on February 15, 2023
How Borussia Dortmund could line up against Chelsea
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Borussia Dortmund could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Chelsea.
Mar 5, 09:44
 Mason Mount celebrates scoring for Chelsea against Aston Villa on October 16, 2022
How Chelsea could line up against Borussia Dortmund
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 second leg with Borussia Dortmund.
Mar 5, 09:36
 Mason Mount in action for Chelsea on September 14, 2022
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Borussia Dortmund
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League last-16 second leg against Borussia Dortmund.
Mar 5, 08:20
 Chelsea's Thiago Silva reacts after sustaining an injury on February 26, 2023
Chelsea defender Thiago Silva expected to miss Borussia Dortmund game?
Chelsea defender Thiago Silva is allegedly unlikely to be fit for next week's Champions League fixture against Borussia Dortmund.
Feb 27, 23:08
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
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10Fulham166642422224
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12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
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