RB Leipzig2 - 1Frankfurt
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Although both teams may start without their most potent attackers due to fitness concerns, we expect to see an entertaining contest between two of Germany's Champions League representatives on Saturday. While Frankfurt continue to punch above their weight under Glasner, there is little doubt that they are a more effective force on home turf, and we can envisage a narrow Leipzig win as they continue their surge under Rose's tutelage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
54.35% ( -0.08) | 22.62% ( -0.01) | 23.03% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.12) | 42.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( 0.12) | 64.78% ( -0.11) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( 0.01) | 15.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.53% ( 0.02) | 44.46% ( -0.02) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( 0.14) | 32.13% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.39% ( 0.16) | 68.6% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.1% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 54.35% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.03% |
