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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Rodney Parade
Chesterfield

Newport
0 - 3
Chesterfield


Antwi (40'), Wildig (48'), Hudlin (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Markanday (1'), Grigg (84', 87')
Oldaker (3'), Araujo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield

Chesterfield have taken four points from their last two away games, but we think that they will be left empty-handed when they face a Newport side that have won four of their five home league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
26.98% (1.965 1.97) 23.67% (0.47 0.47) 49.34% (-2.434 -2.43)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (-0.468 -0.47)43.44% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (-0.463 -0.46)65.83% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (1.272 1.27)29.51% (-1.27 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (1.523 1.52)65.53% (-1.522 -1.52)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-1.077 -1.08)17.72% (1.079 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-1.897 -1.9)48.39% (1.899 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 26.98%
    Chesterfield 49.34%
    Draw 23.67%
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.362 0.36)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 26.98%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.407 -0.41)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 49.34%

How you voted: Newport vs Chesterfield

Newport County
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Chesterfield
23.1%
52
Head to Head
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Newport
4-1
Chesterfield
Nouble (55', 66', 68'), Amond (82')
Rigg (91')
O'Grady (37')
Reed (90')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Dec 1, 2013 1pm
Newport
3-2
Chesterfield
Crow (6'), Chapman (74' pen.), Sandell (87')
Jolley (28')
Ryan (62'), Richards (90')
Banks (68')
Cooper (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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