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Championship header 2

League Two
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Technique Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Madden (6'), Grigg (74')
Metcalfe (64'), Banks (90'), Naylor (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jatta (14'), McGoldrick (90+4')
Palmer (55'), Macarai (64'), Crowley (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Notts County

 Considering Chesterfield have drawn four of their six matches at home this season, it is difficult to see them losing on Saturday. However, the hosts are yet to keep a clean sheet at SMH Group Stadium, and Notts County will no doubt get chances of their own in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
50.49% (-0.691 -0.69) 22.6% (0.175 0.18) 26.9% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 61.69% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-0.399 -0.4)38.52% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.425 -0.42)60.82% (0.422 0.42)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)15.48% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (-0.714 -0.71)44.36% (0.713 0.71)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.15700000000001 0.16)27.01% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.209 0.21)62.36% (-0.21 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 50.49%
    Notts County 26.9%
    Draw 22.6%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.098 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
47.2%
Draw
25.0%
Notts County
27.8%
36
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
(Aggregate 2-2 | Notts County win 4-3 on penalties)
Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
Gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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