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Aldershot Town
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Barnet
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Chesterfield
National League
May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
FT
(aet)
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Notts County win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Notts County record a penalty-shootout victory over Chesterfield in the National League playoff final to earn promotion to League Two.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley
Sunday, May 7 at 3.40pm in National League

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
40.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 22.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.01% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 40.28%
    Notts County 37.01%
    Draw 22.71%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Dobra (45'), King (45+4'), Quigley (50'), Sheckleford (73'), Jones (86')
King (64')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Rawlinson (45'), Scott (76'), Jones (90')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
Jun 5, 2021 4pm
Notts County
3-2
Chesterfield
Wootton (30', 71'), Ellis (90')
Ellis (32')
Rowe (27'), Mandeville (42')
Maguire (24'), Oyeleke (32'), Gunning (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227
> National League Full Table


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