Lyon2 - 3PSG
We said: Lyon 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain
Dispatching opponents with ease in recent weeks, PSG should be supremely confident of continuing that trend against Lyon on Sunday night. Le Gones were convincing during the second half of their Montpellier smashing last time out, although the conquering of Les Parisiens should prove impossible for Fonseca's troops. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
29.89% ( 0.22) | 23.29% ( -0.02) | 46.81% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% ( 0.2) | 39.73% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( 0.21) | 62.09% ( -0.22) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.24) | 25.62% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.49% ( 0.33) | 60.5% ( -0.34) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( -0) | 17.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.38% ( -0) | 47.61% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.89% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.81% |
