Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
53.73% ( -0) | 22.76% ( 0) | 23.51% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% ( -0) | 42.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.11% ( -0) | 64.89% ( 0.01) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% ( -0) | 15.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% ( -0) | 44.92% ( 0.01) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( 0) | 31.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( 0) | 68.2% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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