Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2023 at 4.30am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Wellington5 - 2Brisbane Roar
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Sydney FC
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
33.86% ( 0.33) | 24.48% ( 0.09) | 41.66% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
