Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Mar 12, 2022 at 6.05am UK
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Brisbane Roar2 - 1Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 54.27% | 23.72% | 22% |
| Both teams to score 52.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
