Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 23, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Victory2 - 1Macarthur
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-1 Victory
Saturday, April 15 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 15 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Macarthur
Friday, April 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, April 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Melbourne Victory 1-1 Macarthur
Neither team has been in good form as of late, and considering how damaging a defeat could be for either club this game could lead to a cautious draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
53.76% ( 0.35) | 22.17% ( 0) | 24.07% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
