MX23RW : Monday, December 23 14:32:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 13, 2023 at 7am UK
AAMI Park
Western United

Victory
1 - 2
Western Utd

Fornaroli (50')
Da Silva (77'), Cadete (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Botic (38'), Prijovic (69')
Garuccio (85'), Young (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-0 Victory
Saturday, March 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne Victory 2-1 Western United

With both sides showing some encouraging form of late, we expect a competitive fixture to unfold. Although Western United will be confident of making it three wins in a row, we are backing Victory to close things up at the foot of the table with a hard-fought triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
48.32% (0.554 0.55) 23.53% (-0.147 -0.15) 28.14% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 59.43% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.03% (0.402 0.4)41.96% (-0.406 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.402 0.4)64.37% (-0.407 -0.41)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.36800000000001 0.37)17.56% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.9% (0.641 0.64)48.1% (-0.645 -0.65)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)27.91% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.103 -0.1)63.53% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 48.32%
    Western United 28.14%
    Draw 23.52%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.14%

How you voted: Victory vs Western Utd

Melbourne Victory
47.8%
Draw
17.4%
Western United
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7am
May 21, 2022 8.15am
Victory
1-4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
Victory
1-1
Western Utd
Hamill (85')
Marchan (78'), Miranda (90+2')
Topor-Stanley (47')
Risdon (13'), Imai (40'), Wales (90+4')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!