Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Sunday, December 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Despite Ajax's slight dip in form this month, it is difficult to see them losing this match, against an Almere City that are winless on the road this season and have failed to score a single goal in their last three outings. The hosts have already notched up seven wins in eight at the Johan Cruijff Arena this term and we feel they will add another three points to that tally in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
82.48% ( 0.21) | 11.92% ( -0.09) | 5.6% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.82% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.03% ( -0.15) | 33.97% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.17) | 55.83% ( 0.17) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.87% ( 0.01) | 6.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.03) | 23.26% ( -0.02) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.5) | 54.39% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.49% ( -0.31) | 87.51% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.31% Total : 82.47% | 1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.51% Total : 11.93% | 0-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 5.6% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Almere City
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
