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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
3 - 0
Almere City

Weghorst (12'), Taylor (40'), Fitz-Jim (55')
Rensch (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jacobs (50'), Kadile (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-3 Lazio
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Almere City 1-3 Utrecht
Sunday, December 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 Almere City

Despite Ajax's slight dip in form this month, it is difficult to see them losing this match, against an Almere City that are winless on the road this season and have failed to score a single goal in their last three outings. The hosts have already notched up seven wins in eight at the Johan Cruijff Arena this term and we feel they will add another three points to that tally in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawAlmere City
82.48% (0.209 0.21) 11.92% (-0.087 -0.09) 5.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 42.82% (-0.47 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.03% (-0.149 -0.15)33.97% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.17% (-0.17 -0.17)55.83% (0.174 0.17)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.87% (0.012 0.01)6.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.62% (-0.503 -0.5)54.39% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.49% (-0.309 -0.31)87.51% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 82.47%
    Almere City 5.6%
    Draw 11.93%
AjaxDrawAlmere City
2-0 @ 12.99% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 12.09% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 8.44% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.71% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2.19% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 82.47%
1-1 @ 5.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 11.93%
0-1 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 5.6%

How you voted: Ajax vs Almere City

Ajax
84.6%
Draw
11.5%
Almere City
3.8%
26
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Ajax
3-0
Almere City
Bergwijn (29', 34', 38')
Mannsverk (26'), Kaplan (45+3'), Hato (62')

Akujobi (10'), van Bruggen (52')
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Almere City
2-2
Ajax
Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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