Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
67.68% ( -0.04) | 17.97% ( 0.04) | 14.35% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.16% ( -0.19) | 34.84% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.19% ( -0.21) | 56.81% ( 0.21) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.55% ( -0.06) | 9.45% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.25% ( -0.14) | 31.74% ( 0.14) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( -0.12) | 36.93% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( -0.12) | 73.71% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |