Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
38.63% ( -0.4) | 22.92% ( 0.15) | 38.45% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 65.68% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.58% ( -0.76) | 35.43% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.54% ( -0.84) | 57.46% ( 0.85) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.08% ( -0.5) | 18.92% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.58% ( -0.84) | 50.42% ( 0.84) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% ( -0.21) | 19% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% ( -0.36) | 50.55% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.57% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 38.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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