Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
47.93% ( -0.28) | 23.92% ( 0.12) | 28.15% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.26% ( -0.45) | 43.74% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% ( -0.44) | 66.13% ( 0.45) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( -0.28) | 18.39% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.47% ( -0.49) | 49.53% ( 0.49) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% ( -0.12) | 28.82% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% ( -0.15) | 64.68% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.93% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 28.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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