Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
26.81% ( 1.05) | 23.53% ( 0.39) | 49.66% ( -1.44) |
Both teams to score 58.32% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.06% ( -0.94) | 42.94% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.66% ( -0.94) | 65.34% ( 0.94) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( 0.3) | 29.38% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% ( 0.36) | 65.37% ( -0.36) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.88) | 17.42% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.14% ( -1.57) | 47.86% ( 1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.81% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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