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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | 1st Leg
May 12, 2023 at 10.45am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
Melbourne City

Sydney FC
1 - 1
Melbourne City

le Fondre (64' pen.)
King (70'), Corica (71'), Grant (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Leckie (18')
Good (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, May 6 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Western Sydney
Friday, April 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Sydney FC 1-2 Melbourne City

 Melbourne are undoubtedly the favourites, and Sydney will have to play very well over the two legs to beat them. We are expecting a tight match on Friday but believe that the away team's attacking quality will allow them to claim a narrow advantage ahead of the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
28.59%22.1%49.31%
Both teams to score 64.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21%34.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.24%56.76%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04%23.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81%58.19%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47%14.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45%42.55%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 28.59%
    Melbourne City 49.31%
    Draw 22.1%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.85%
1-0 @ 4.97%
2-0 @ 3.55%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 9.25%
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 5.95%
2-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 4.17%
1-4 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 2.05%
0-4 @ 2.01%
1-5 @ 1.11%
3-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.31%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Melbourne City

Sydney FC
30.6%
Draw
12.2%
Melbourne City
57.1%
49
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 6am
gameweek 18
Melbourne City
3-2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (5', 30'), Tilio (13')
van der Venne (55'), Reis (90+5')
Mak (28'), Caballo (90+6')
Retre (56')
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 7
Sydney FC
2-1
Melbourne City
Lolley (23'), Le Fondre (61')
MacLaren (22' pen.)
Berisha (9')
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
gameweek 11
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 16
Sydney FC
1-2
Melbourne City
Ninkovic (53')
Grant (41'), O'Toole (66'), Barbarouses (90+2')
Retre (32' og.), Leckie (90+1')
Berenguer (72'), MacLaren (74')
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Sydney FC
Atkinson (23'), Jamieson (45+1' pen.), Galloway (90+3')
Tilio (54'), Colakovski (73')
Barbarouses (21')
Brattan (25')
Brattan (35')
rhs 2.0
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