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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 15, 2023 at 8am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Melbourne City

Central Coast
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Nisbet (78')
Steele (76'), Triantis (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bos (63')
Talbot (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Central Coast
Friday, April 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-1 Wellington
Monday, April 10 at 7am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Melbourne City

 Melbourne City have been the standout side in the A-League this season, and after winning their last five meetings with Central Coast Mariners, we think that they will have the quality and belief required to claim all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-1 (5.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
30.62% (1.77 1.77) 21.66% (0.263 0.26) 47.72% (-2.03 -2.03)
Both teams to score 68.15% (0.248 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.74% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)31.26% (0.176 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (-0.205 -0.2)52.69% (0.207 0.21)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.929 0.93)20.98% (-0.927 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (1.428 1.43)53.74% (-1.426 -1.43)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (-0.70599999999999 -0.71)13.76% (0.708 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.95% (-1.422 -1.42)41.05% (1.425 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 30.62%
    Melbourne City 47.72%
    Draw 21.66%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.52% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.164 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.094 0.09)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.38% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.66%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.246 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-3 @ 4.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-4 @ 2.27% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-4 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-5 @ 0.9% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 47.72%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Melbourne City

Central Coast Mariners
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Melbourne City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Dec 27, 2022 6.30am
Melbourne City
1-0
Central Coast
MacLaren (39')

Tulio (12')
Feb 22, 2022 8.55am
Melbourne City
3-2
Central Coast
MacLaren (45+7' pen.), Berenguer (57'), Tilio (74')
Leckie (13'), Glover (35'), O'Neill (48'), Galloway (72')
N'Kololo (45'), Bozanic (65')
N'Kololo (7'), Montgomery (90+2')
Jan 23, 2022 5.05am
Central Coast
1-3
Melbourne City
Urena (41')
Farrell (59')
MacLaren (18'), Nabbout (57'), Jenkinson (84')
Bos (16'), Stokes (45+2'), Metcalfe (55'), Berenguer (84')
May 22, 2021 10.10am
Melbourne City
1-0
Central Coast
Noone (59')
Noone (32'), Tilio (63'), O'Neill (66')

Simon (10'), Stajcic (63')
Mar 22, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
2-0
Central Coast
MacLaren (31'), Atkinson (56')
Metcalfe (45'), Luna (49')

Bozanic (42'), Tongyik (52'), Stajcic (85')
rhs 2.0
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