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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 24, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Central Coast
1 - 1
Wellington

McGarry (12')
Montgomery (60'), Farrell (90')
Montgomery (0'), Kaltack (58'), Moresche (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zawada (90+4')
Kraev (34'), Old (65'), Ball (70'), van Hattum (90+5'), Wootton (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 18 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Wellington
Friday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Wellington Phoenix

 Central Coast Mariners have not been at their best recently, while the visitors are gaining momentum, but on the back of two more positive results, the hosts should have enough to at least avoid another defeat to the Nix, and we anticipate a share of the spoils on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawWellington Phoenix
51.13% (-0.601 -0.6) 22.89% (0.142 0.14) 25.98% (0.456 0.46)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.34% (-0.255 -0.25)40.65% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (-0.262 -0.26)63.04% (0.26 0.26)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.304 -0.3)16.03% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (-0.557 -0.56)45.38% (0.554 0.55)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.212 0.21)28.8% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.262 0.26)64.66% (-0.264 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 51.13%
    Wellington Phoenix 25.98%
    Draw 22.88%
Central Coast MarinersDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 25.98%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Wellington

Central Coast Mariners
57.6%
Draw
30.3%
Wellington Phoenix
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 2am
Wellington
2-1
Central Coast
Rufer (32'), Zawada (40')
Rufer (45'), Talay (82'), Elliot (90+5'), Sail (90+9'), Zawada (90+8')
N'Kololo (90+2')
Roux (13'), N'Kololo (25'), Triantis (90+9')
Oct 16, 2022 3am
Wellington
2-2
Central Coast
Waine (57'), Ayongo (89' og.)
Silvera (59'), Cummings (64')
Kelechi (16')
Apr 17, 2022 4.05am
Wellington
0-4
Central Coast

Ball (34'), McGarry (54')
N'Kololo (25'), Cummings (62'), Moresche (65'), Hatch (90+6')
Nisbet (32'), N'Kololo (77')
Apr 5, 2022 10.05am
Central Coast
5-0
Wellington
Urena (8' pen.), N'Kololo (24'), Cummings (55' pen.), Kuol (68'), Hatch (90+3')

Fenton (89'), Wootton (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Central Coast
Hooper (48'), Sotirio (63')
Urena (52')
rhs 2.0
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