Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
32.24% ( -0.82) | 24.41% ( -0.15) | 43.35% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.14% ( 0.43) | 43.85% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.75% ( 0.42) | 66.24% ( -0.43) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( -0.29) | 26.16% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( -0.39) | 61.24% ( 0.38) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( 0.62) | 20.36% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% ( 0.98) | 52.77% ( -0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.24% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 43.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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