Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
37.19% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( 0.01) | 38.47% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% ( -0.04) | 42.53% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( -0.04) | 64.93% ( 0.04) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( -0.02) | 22.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% ( -0.02) | 56.42% ( 0.02) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% ( -0.03) | 22.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% ( -0.04) | 55.45% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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