Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
42.78% ( -0.68) | 23.95% ( -0.11) | 33.27% ( 0.79) |
Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.64% ( 0.79) | 41.36% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.24% ( 0.79) | 63.75% ( -0.79) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( 0.03) | 19.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% ( 0.05) | 51.51% ( -0.05) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( 0.84) | 24.35% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% ( 1.18) | 58.75% ( -1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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