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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Apr 6, 2022 at 10.05am UK
AAMI Park
Sydney FC

Melbourne City
4 - 0
Sydney FC

Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
51.01%23.76%25.23%
Both teams to score 56.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74%45.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4%67.6%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22%17.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51%48.49%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15%31.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71%68.28%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 51.01%
    Sydney FC 25.23%
    Draw 23.76%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.48%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.23%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Sydney FC

Melbourne City
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Sydney FC
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
1-2
Melbourne City
Ninkovic (53')
Grant (41'), O'Toole (66'), Barbarouses (90+2')
Retre (32' og.), Leckie (90+1')
Berenguer (72'), MacLaren (74')
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Sydney FC
Atkinson (23'), Jamieson (45+1' pen.), Galloway (90+3')
Tilio (54'), Colakovski (73')
Barbarouses (21')
Brattan (25')
Brattan (35')
Apr 10, 2021 8.05am
Sydney FC
1-1
Melbourne City
Barbarouses (54')
Retre (29'), Barbarouses (65')
MacLaren (90+8' pen.)
Berenguer (37')
Feb 23, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (8', 54'), Luna (28')
Metcalfe (59')
Ninkovic (72'), Wood (90')
Wilkinson (11'), Retre (30'), Grant (30'), Caceres (36'), McGowan (77')
Aug 30, 2020 9.30am
Sydney FC
1-0
Melbourne City
Grant (100')
Retre (53'), Grant (97')

Windbichler (103'), Atkinson (117')
rhs 2.0
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