Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.03% ( -3.1) | 21.27% ( -0.88) | 62.71% ( 3.99) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -3.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( -1.27) | 46.59% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% ( -1.2) | 68.86% ( 1.2) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.97% ( -4.44) | 42.03% ( 4.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% ( -4.09) | 78.46% ( 4.09) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% ( 0.85) | 14.25% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.98% ( 1.63) | 42.02% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.03% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.94) 0-2 @ 11.36% ( 1.22) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 7.38% ( 0.99) 1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.58) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.29) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |