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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Rio Ave

Benfica
4 - 1
Rio Ave

di Maria (29'), Silva (61'), Leonardo (80'), Mario (90+1')
Kokcu (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodrigues (9')
Aderlan (49'), Patrick (90+3')
Aderlan (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Braga
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Portimonense
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Rio Ave

 While Rio Ave will look to pick up where they left off last time out, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a high-flying Benfica side. As Aguias have won each of their last 11 games against the visitors, and given the gulf in quality and depth between the two sides, they should come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawRio Ave
72.87% (-0.486 -0.49) 16.29% (0.182 0.18) 10.84% (0.3 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.456 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.98% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.46% (-0.104 -0.1)8.54% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.45% (-0.255 -0.25)29.55% (0.252 0.25)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (0.56 0.56)43.07% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (0.468 0.47)79.35% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 72.87%
    Rio Ave 10.84%
    Draw 16.29%
BenficaDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.13% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 5.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.76% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.021 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 72.87%
1-1 @ 7.62% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.29%
1-2 @ 3.21% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.1% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 10.84%

How you voted: Benfica vs Rio Ave

Benfica
96.2%
Draw
3.8%
Rio Ave
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 26
Rio Ave
0-1
Benfica
Ramos (46')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Benfica
4-2
Rio Ave
Ramos (13', 45+1'), Luiz (19' og.), Musa (62')
Ronaldo (6'), Rodrigues (86')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 21
Benfica
2-0
Rio Ave
Seferovic (59'), Pizzi (78')
Silva (72')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 4
Rio Ave
0-3
Benfica

Pinto (81')
Waldschmidt (6', 45+4'), Gabriel (84')
Gilberto (78'), Otamendi (80'), Weigl (90+2')
Jun 17, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 27
Rio Ave
1-2
Benfica
Taremi (26')
Elmusrati (13'), Figueiras (80')
Elmusrati (62'), Santos (72'), Figueiras (90+2')
Seferovic (64'), Weigl (87')
Pizzi (45+3'), Dias (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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