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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.43%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
22.05% ( -0.22) | 21.52% ( 0.06) | 56.43% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.57% ( -0.56) | 38.43% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.28% ( -0.59) | 60.72% ( 0.6) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% ( -0.5) | 30.79% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.6) | 67.05% ( 0.6) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( -0.14) | 13.52% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.43% ( -0.27) | 40.57% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 56.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |