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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 5-0 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.45%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (0.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
90.79% ( -0.41) | 6.12% ( 0.27) | 3.1% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
86.65% ( -0.69) | 13.35% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
72.04% ( -1.15) | 27.97% ( 1.15) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
98.34% ( -0.11) | 1.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
91.52% ( -0.5) | 8.48% ( 0.51) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.17% ( -0.14) | 44.83% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.2% ( -0.11) | 80.8% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
4-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.19) 6-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.16) 6-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.18) 7-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 7-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.13) 6-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) 8-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 8-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) 7-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 5.38% Total : 90.79% | 1-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.65% Total : 6.12% | 1-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 3.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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