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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
40.74% | 26.06% | 33.19% |
Both teams to score 53.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% | 50.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.25% | 72.75% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% | 24.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.84% | 59.16% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% | 28.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.11% | 64.88% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Twente |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |