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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
65.46% ( -0.46) | 17.82% ( 0.23) | 16.71% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 63.94% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.08% ( -0.75) | 28.92% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.12% ( -0.93) | 49.88% ( 0.93) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.63% ( -0.3) | 8.36% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.88% ( -0.75) | 29.12% ( 0.74) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% ( -0.25) | 30.23% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% ( -0.31) | 66.39% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.83% Total : 65.46% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 16.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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