Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.