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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
61.67% ( 0.06) | 22.57% ( -0.02) | 15.75% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.68% ( -0) | 52.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.99% ( -0) | 74.01% ( 0.01) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( 0.02) | 16.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% ( 0.03) | 46.25% ( -0.03) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.15% ( -0.06) | 45.84% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.4% ( -0.04) | 81.6% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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