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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
56.02% (![]() | 21.18% (![]() | 22.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.14% (![]() | 35.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.06% (![]() | 57.94% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% (![]() | 12.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% (![]() | 39.11% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% (![]() | 28.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% (![]() | 64.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.69% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 9.43% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Heidenheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | St Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |