Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen3 - 2RB Leipzig
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Teutonia Hamburg 0-8 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 RB Leipzig
Despite the promise of goals, the winner of the last five games between Leverkusen and Leipzig has seen the winning side keep a clean sheet. That is not expected this time, with Alonso's side edging proceedings in gameweek one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
38.05% ( -1.96) | 23.67% ( -0.23) | 38.27% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.74% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
