Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Mossley AFC and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Mossley AFC had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Mossley AFC win it was 1-0 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mossley AFC | Draw | Chorley |
12.2% ( 0.09) | 17.72% ( 0.1) | 70.07% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
