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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
73.68% ( 0.01) | 14.96% ( -0.01) | 11.36% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.66% ( 0.03) | 27.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.09% ( 0.03) | 47.91% ( -0.04) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.63% ( 0) | 6.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.1% ( 0.02) | 23.9% ( -0.02) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( 0.01) | 36.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.11% ( 0.01) | 72.89% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 73.68% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 14.96% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 5 | 22 | 24 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
6 | Feyenoord | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Willem II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Groningen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Heracles | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 9 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
15 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
16 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 0 |
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