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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
NEC

Almere City
1 - 4
Nijmegen

van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 NEC

There is little to play for heading into this weekend's contest, but we expect a keenly-contested affair nonetheless, with the sides matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawNEC
30.09% (1.473 1.47) 24.36% (0.584 0.58) 45.55% (-2.051 -2.05)
Both teams to score 57.89% (-1.042 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-1.8 -1.8)44.58% (1.804 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05% (-1.764 -1.76)66.95% (1.769 1.77)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.097999999999999 0.1)27.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.122 0.12)63.53% (-0.117 -0.12)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-1.551 -1.55)19.71% (1.556 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-2.589 -2.59)51.71% (2.594 2.59)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 30.09%
    NEC 45.55%
    Draw 24.36%
Almere CityDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.249 0.25)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.55 0.55)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.417 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.261 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.55%

How you voted: Almere City vs Nijmegen

Almere City
25.5%
Draw
38.2%
NEC
36.4%
55
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Almere City
Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
2-3
Almere City
Balker (65' og.), Kvida (71')
Proper (79'), Flemming (90')
Efmorfidis (23'), Kip (34'), Verheydt (72')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header

No data available at present. Please try results.



Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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