Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 78.39%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 7.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for FC Twente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.